| Doctoral
Thesis: Statistical
methods to adjust for death in longitudinal studies
Supervisors:
Dr Anne Young (University of Newcastle) & Dr David
Sibbritt (University of Newcastle)
University: Centre
for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University
of Newcastle, Australia.
Aims
of the research:
-
To investigate the statistical methods used to account
for death in longitudinal studies
-
To apply the current statistical methods to ALSWH
data for the older cohort and evaluate the advantages
and disadvantages of the methods
-
To determine whether there is a need to improve current
statistical methods and apply and assess new strategies
if applicable
-
To examine the impact of diabetes on quality of life
among older women - adjusting for deaths by applying
the methods developed.
Progress:
A literature review to examine the statistical methods
that are currently used to account for dropout due to
death has been conducted. A method proposed by Diehr
and colleagues has been applied to ALSWH data. The method
transforms the physical component score (PCS) of the
SF-36 to a new score which estimates the probability
of being healthy at the next time point. A value of
zero is assigned to participants at time points when
they have missing data due to death.
The methodology
was applied to Survey 1 and Survey 2 ALSWH data and
validated by applying the derived transformation to
Survey 2 and Survey 3 of the Older cohort. The transformation
derived from the ALSWH data provides evidence that the
methodology for transforming the PCS to account for
deaths is sound. The three-year equation provided good
estimates of the probability of being healthy in three
years and the method allowed deaths to be included in
an analysis of changes in health over time. We applied
the method when comparing changes in health related
quality of life between Survey 1 and Survey 2 for women
with and without self-reported diabetes.
Without adjusting
for deaths, there was no significant difference in changes
over time in health related quality of life (PCS) for
women with and without diabetes. However when analysing
the transformed PCS which included a value for deaths,
women with diabetes had a significantly greater decline
in health than women without diabetes. In a further
phase of the method, missing values for reasons other
than death are being imputed by a variety of methods,
to determine whether including a value for death (zero)
is overly influential. The methods of imputation for
longitudinal data are the current focus of research.
A paper describing the application of the method has
been accepted to Medical Care.
To
contact Steve:
Steven Bowe
Centre for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics
University of Newcastle, 2308
E mail: steven.bowe@newcastle.edu.au |